Here is a nacbrac summary of Tim's original position (with 13/8 and 13/10 both brought down), my first variant (with only 13/8 brought down), and my second variant (with only 13/10 brought down), respectively. Each of the three positions has a different best play.
54S-43H-53S-63R-42 [P B15 r22 b24] "<=25
54S-43H-32H-63R-42 [r P21]"<=20
43S-43H-32H-63R-42 [B b12 r31 P46] "<=20*5
Key: P = Point (8/4 6/4), B = Both (20/16* 10/8), b = both (24/20 10/8), r = run (24/22 20/16*).
Rollout details of the original position can be found here: 20k 5k.
Rollout details of the two variant positions are posted below.
Nack

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 171 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 158 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-Da--dD--ab-eA---A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/22 20/16* | eq: +0.397 |
| Player: Opponent: | 58.16% (G:20.06% B:1.64%) 41.84% (G:10.28% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.392...+0.402) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 day 18 hours 18 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: +0.377 (-0.021) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.78% (G:20.85% B:1.69%) 42.22% (G:11.06% B:0.46%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.372...+0.381) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 day 08 hours 25 minutes |
|
| |
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 88632898 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 171 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 160 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-b----E-CaA-dD--ab-eA---A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/16* 10/8 | eq: +0.363 |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.54% (G:19.56% B:1.53%) 42.46% (G:10.63% B:0.42%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.358...+0.367) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 day 20 hours 43 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 10/8 | eq: +0.350 (-0.012) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.72% (G:16.17% B:0.70%) 42.28% (G:7.70% B:0.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.346...+0.354) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 day 14 hours 09 minutes |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 24/22 20/16* | eq: +0.331 (-0.031) |
| Player: Opponent: | 56.92% (G:19.18% B:1.45%) 43.08% (G:11.11% B:0.51%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.322...+0.341) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 hours 26 minutes |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 8/4 6/4 | eq: +0.317 (-0.046) |
| Player: Opponent: | 56.48% (G:20.37% B:1.53%) 43.52% (G:11.67% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.308...+0.326) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 54 minutes |
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| |
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 73441116 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 73441116 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01