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54S-43H-53S-63R-42 and variants

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 1 December 2011, at 10:34 p.m.

In Response To: 54S-43H-53D-63R-42 (Nack Ballard)

Here is a nacbrac summary of Tim's original position (with 13/8 and 13/10 both brought down), my first variant (with only 13/8 brought down), and my second variant (with only 13/10 brought down), respectively. Each of the three positions has a different best play.

    54S-43H-53S-63R-42 [P B15 r22 b24] "<=25
    54S-43H-32H-63R-42 [r P21]"<=20
    43S-43H-32H-63R-42 [B b12 r31 P46] "<=20*5

Key: P = Point (8/4 6/4), B = Both (20/16* 10/8), b = both (24/20 10/8), r = run (24/22 20/16*).

Rollout details of the original position can be found here: 20k 5k.
Rollout details of the two variant positions are posted below.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-Da--dD--ab-eA---A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout124/22 20/16* eq: +0.397
Player:
Opponent:
58.16% (G:20.06% B:1.64%)
41.84% (G:10.28% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.392...+0.402) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 day 18 hours 18 minutes
2.Rollout18/4 6/4eq: +0.377 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:
57.78% (G:20.85% B:1.69%)
42.22% (G:11.06% B:0.46%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.372...+0.381) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 day 08 hours 25 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 88632898
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 160
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-CaA-dD--ab-eA---A-:0:0:1:42:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout120/16* 10/8eq: +0.363
Player:
Opponent:
57.54% (G:19.56% B:1.53%)
42.46% (G:10.63% B:0.42%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.358...+0.367) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 day 20 hours 43 minutes
2.Rollout124/20 10/8eq: +0.350 (-0.012)
Player:
Opponent:
57.72% (G:16.17% B:0.70%)
42.28% (G:7.70% B:0.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.346...+0.354) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 day 14 hours 09 minutes
3.Rollout224/22 20/16* eq: +0.331 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:
56.92% (G:19.18% B:1.45%)
43.08% (G:11.11% B:0.51%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.322...+0.341) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 hours 26 minutes
4.Rollout28/4 6/4eq: +0.317 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:
56.48% (G:20.37% B:1.53%)
43.52% (G:11.67% B:0.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.308...+0.326) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 hours 54 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 73441116
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 73441116
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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