The score (after 0 games) is: White 9, Blue 0 (match to 13 points)
| White | 80 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
                         | |||
| Blue | 119 | ||
| Position ID: 3eOGgAC1OYMBBg Match ID: QQm3AZAAAAAE | |||
The appeal of 13/7* 6/1 is that if White fans Blue has 21/36 ways to make the deuce point next turn instead of only 15/36 ways after 13/7*/2. 13/7* 6/1 also gives White only 5/36 ways to enter and cover his home board blot instead of 7/36.
However, in favor of 13/7*/2:
(1) Blue gets 4/36 ways (33 31 11) instead of 3/36 (33 32) ways to make the 5 point, and the 4/36 ways all give Blue a 5-prime in front of the slotted ace point (after 13/7* 6/1 ... fan, 32 only makes a 4-prime).
(2) White's 52 does not hit 2 checkers -- after 13/7* 6/1 White will play bar/23*/18*.
(3) White's 22 does not hit, cover the ace point and make the 5 point -- after 13/7* 6/1 White will play bar/23* 8/6(2) 3/1.
(4) In any sequence that leads to White anchoring on a low point(White enters, Blue hits on White's acepoint or in the outfield, White anchors), the anchor is on the inferior ace point.
| Entering hit and cover numbers | |
|---|---|
| After 13/7* 6/1 | After 13/7*/2 |
| 62 22 21 | 61 51 21 11 |
| If White fans | ||
|---|---|---|
| Play | After 13/7* 6/1 ... fan | After 13/7*/2 ... fan |
| Make 2 point | 66 65 64 63 62 55 54 53 51 42 41 22 | |
| Make 1 point | 66 65 55 54 53 51 44 41 32 | |
| Make 5 point | 33 32 | 33 31 11 |
| Hit outfield blot | 61 52 43 | 61 52 43 |
| None of the above | 44 31 21 11 | 64 63 62 42 22 21 |
In the altered position below, doublet 2 isn't quite the joker, and the two plays are about even.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 9, Blue 0 (match to 13 points)
| White | 82 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | |||
| Blue | 119 | ||
| Position ID: 3eOMgAC1OYMBBg Match ID: QQm3AZAAAAAE | |||
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| • | 1 | R | 13/7* 6/1 | +0.4379 | ||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2593 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 938622850 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | R | 13/7*/2 | +0.4364 ( -0.0015) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 938622850 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||