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Straw poll

Posted By: Snua
Date: Monday, 5 December 2011, at 5:59 p.m.

In Response To: Straw poll (Daniel Murphy)

That seems about right.

As I said, I played this at 7-7 to 11, but got it hopelessly wrong. I didn't think it was good enough and it's a huge pass. If my calculation is right, white needs 25% (exc. gammons) which he's not remotely close to.

I suspect it's a close pass for money. My rollout on the match pos. says that white has 21.7%. This pc might well change in a money situation but my guess is that he doesn't have enough to take. All in all, a bit of a surprise, so I've learnt something.

I will roll it out for money if I have time.

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