Neil's original position is on the left and the rollout details are posted here. For the position on the right, the rollout details appear at the bottom of this post. The nacbrac summary is...
63S-21X-32 [P @25] "<5
63S-62X-32 [P @14] "<10
In other words, in both positions, P (Point, bar/23 13/10) is better than @ (anchor, bar/22 24/22), but the decision is closer on the right.
In live play, the second position (see rollout below) is more likely to occur because against an opening 63S, 62X is the best reply whereas 21X is not.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 159 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 165
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-dD---cae----AA:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 32 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/23 13/10 | eq: -0.062 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.64% (G:13.20% B:0.52%)
51.36% (G:15.11% B:0.65%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.068...-0.056) - [100.0%]
Duration: 14 hours 50 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 24/22 | eq: -0.076 (-0.014) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.82% (G:12.28% B:0.49%)
52.18% (G:12.50% B:0.52%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.082...-0.071) - [0.0%]
Duration: 16 hours 39 minutes |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 72770671
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
