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LA Doubles Final, Cube Decision

Posted By: Jeremy Bagai
Date: Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 4:48 a.m.

In Response To: LA Doubles Final, Cube Decision (Alfred Mamlet)

My thinking . . .

5 rolls (66, 22, 11, and 62) leave double shots, which I'll count as 10 shots.
7 rolls (65, 64, 55, and 54) leave single shots, for a total of 17 shots.
A shot gets hit a third of the time for around 6 hits. (Not all hits win, but there are also lots of subsequent shots, so I'll ignore both of those factors.)
Six games in 36 is 16.67%, which is just above the 15% take-point at this score. So I think close take. And a clear double, since it might be a pass anyway, and since I don't think Blue wins that many gammons.

No I'll go throw it into XG . . .

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