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LA Doubles Final, Cube Decision

Posted By: kruidenbuiltje
Date: Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 8:34 a.m.

In Response To: LA Doubles Final, Cube Decision (Alfred Mamlet)

Hi,

following up on Jeremy's rolls i come to 177/1296 = 14% hits.

Not all shots win but a lot do because of the white outfield containment,

and there are white gammons after the entry's 13 and 14 and picking up an extra checker.

So if 15% is the take-point, white should still take.

Now for the gammon chance for blue:

I think blue has a wastage of about 6 pips.

And white needs 58 pips to get off the gammon.

thus 54-58, so blue will probably score about 65-70% gammons.

No Double, play on for the gammon.

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