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Daily Quiz 12/2: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 3:11 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 12/2 (Daily Quiz)

I see now that 61 62 51 52 are awkward for Blue. That's probably not a full explanation of why this seems to be a take but it's a factor I overlooked.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 103
5 point match
pip: 112
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-CCCB-------bbBccb-b--:0:0:1:00:2:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 77.10% (G: 5.46% B: 0.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 22.90% (G: 3.63% B: 0.08%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.576
Double:+1.233
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.778 (-0.190)
Double/Take:+0.968
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.032)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 146
5 point match
pip: 132
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aa-BABB-D---bB---bcdbB----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 66.01% (G: 26.89% B: 1.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.99% (G: 8.13% B: 0.34%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.499
Double:+1.080
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.713 (-0.108)
Double/Take:+0.822
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.178)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross


I was blindsided by this one! Nice problem.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 140
5 point match
pip: 142
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBa--DBB--AbA-b-bBbbab-A-:0:0:-1:52:1:0:0:5:10
White to play 52

1.XG Roller+6/4 6/1* eq: +0.114
Player:
Opponent:
51.83% (G:20.35% B:0.95%)
48.17% (G:15.51% B:0.90%)
2.XG Roller+24/22 10/5eq: +0.074 (-0.040)
Player:
Opponent:
51.42% (G:17.39% B:0.61%)
48.58% (G:11.83% B:0.47%)
3.XG Roller+22/15eq: -0.074 (-0.188)
Player:
Opponent:
50.31% (G:15.33% B:0.82%)
49.69% (G:16.60% B:0.75%)
4.XG Roller+8/1* eq: -0.087 (-0.202)
Player:
Opponent:
48.26% (G:20.90% B:1.14%)
51.74% (G:21.73% B:2.37%)
5.XG Roller+10/8 10/5eq: -0.096 (-0.210)
Player:
Opponent:
48.61% (G:16.85% B:0.94%)
51.39% (G:17.12% B:0.88%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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