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63S-62X-F-51P-32

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 12:37 a.m.

In Response To: 63S-62X-F-51P-32 (Nack Ballard)

Compare the result of the first rollout with the result of the second rollout (at the bottom of this post, also posted elsewhere in this thread). The only difference is that White has played an extra 13/8 in the first position.

Here is a nacbrac summary (both XG2 3-ply 5k rollouts) to spotlight the .058 difference in margin:

63S-62X-F-51P-32 [@ P33]
63S-21X-F-51P-32 [P @25]

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 153 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 165 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-cD---cbe----AA:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.	Rollout1	Bar/22 24/22	eq: -0.278
	Player: Opponent: 42.84% (G:10.01% B:0.34%) 57.16% (G:12.96% B:0.51%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.285...-0.270) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 hours 32 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/23 13/10	eq: -0.310 (-0.033)
	Player: Opponent: 43.04% (G:10.93% B:0.43%) 56.96% (G:17.89% B:0.71%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.318...-0.302) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 56 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 82300325 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 158 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 165 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--E-C-A-dD---bbe----AA:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.	Rollout1	Bar/23 13/10	eq: -0.188
	Player: Opponent: 45.63% (G:11.60% B:0.45%) 54.37% (G:15.30% B:0.62%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.195...-0.180) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/22 24/22	eq: -0.213 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 44.41% (G:10.56% B:0.40%) 55.59% (G:12.56% B:0.52%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.220...-0.205) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 36474524 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

Messages In This Thread

• 63S 21X 32?
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 3 December 2011, at 5:51 a.m.
  • 63S 21X 32?
    Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 3 December 2011, at 7:38 a.m.
    • 63S-21X-32 and 63S-62X-32
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 3 December 2011, at 12:57 p.m.
      • 63S-21X-32 and 63S-62X-32
        Martin Sterel -- Saturday, 3 December 2011, at 3:38 p.m.
        • OTB
          neilkaz -- Saturday, 3 December 2011, at 4:53 p.m.
          • 63S-62X-32 rollout (10k)
            Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 1:59 a.m.
        • 63S-21X-32 and 63S-62X-32
          Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 3 December 2011, at 8:31 p.m.
          • 63S-21X-32 and 63S-62X-32
            Martin Sterel -- Sunday, 4 December 2011, at 12:01 a.m.
            • 63S-21X-32 and 63S-62X-32
              Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 4 December 2011, at 12:48 a.m.
              • 63S-21X-32 and 63S-62X-32
                Martin Sterel -- Sunday, 4 December 2011, at 1:15 a.m.
                • 63S-62X-F-51P-32
                  Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 4 December 2011, at 5:14 a.m.
                  • 63S-62X-F-51P-32
                    Martin Sterel -- Sunday, 4 December 2011, at 5:55 a.m.
                  • 63S-62X-F-51P-32
                    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 12:37 a.m.
              • 63S-21X-F-51P-32
                Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 6:51 p.m.
  • 63S 21X 32?
    Stick -- Saturday, 3 December 2011, at 7:45 a.m.
  • 63S 21X 32.. quick RO and OTB
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 6 December 2011, at 8:32 p.m.
  • 62S-21X-32
    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 4:02 a.m.
    • 62S-21X-32
      pontiac -- Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 10:37 a.m.
      • 63S-21X-32 and 62S-21X-32
        Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 5:59 p.m.
        • 63S-62X-32 and 62S-62X-32
          Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 6:17 p.m.
  • 62S-63X-32
    Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 6:30 p.m.
    • 62S-63X-32 Rollout
      Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 10 December 2011, at 3:46 p.m.