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42P-44B-32

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 1:49 a.m.

In Response To: 42P-44B-32 (svilo)

42P-44B-32

OtB I would not figure out minor split with 6/3 was better than minor split with a slot on 10.

When Blue plays 42P-44B-32Z, White hits on her 15pt only with 54 52 51, with gains over the best non-15pt-hitting play of .059, .050 and .146 (according to XGR++ eval), respectively. Divide the total of those three by 18 yields .014. It seems very plausible to me that 13/10 beats 6/3 by (.014 + .021) = .035 in other ways: unstacking the tall point, chance to cover the outside blocking point, no loose blot on 3pt in hit-back variations.

Also why is the duplication of 5s to hit on my 10 and from his surplus 8 so important the major split with 13/11 gets .034 less than the LOW split with 13/10.

After 42P-44B-32Z, White will hit outside with only 54 52 51. After 42P-44B-32S, White will hit outside with 66 65 63 62 51. The 5s are better duplicated after Z than the 6s are duplicated after S.

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• 42P-44B-32
  svilo -- Monday, 5 December 2011, at 5:00 p.m.
  • 42P-44B-32
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 5 December 2011, at 6:37 p.m.
    • 42P-44B-32
      Ian Shaw -- Tuesday, 6 December 2011, at 2:45 p.m.
  • 42P-44B-32
    Stick -- Monday, 5 December 2011, at 8:48 p.m.
    • 42P-44B-32
      svilo -- Tuesday, 6 December 2011, at 3:27 p.m.
  • Score?
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 6 December 2011, at 5:01 p.m.
    • Score?
      svilo -- Tuesday, 6 December 2011, at 6:33 p.m.
      • XG diagram feedback
        Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 6 December 2011, at 7:45 p.m.
        • XG diagram feedback
          eXtreme Gammon -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 1:00 a.m.
  • 42P-44B-32
    svilo -- Wednesday, 7 December 2011, at 10:58 p.m.
    • 42P-44B-32
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 1:49 a.m.
      • 42P-44B-32 leading with the chin
        svilo -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 9:55 a.m.
        • 42P-44B-32 leading with the chin
          Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 8 December 2011, at 5:36 p.m.
  • 42P-44B-32 -d 5K RO
    svilo -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 11:49 a.m.
    • 42P-44B-32 at –11–11
      Nack Ballard -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 4:04 p.m.
      • 42P-44B-32 at –11–11
        svilo -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 12:10 p.m.
      • 42P-44B-32 10K RO at DMP the blind man with the gun
        svilo -- Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 7:32 a.m.