OTB I couldn't decide if I was enough of a favorite, that hitting might not be worth it.
I knew I wasn't as big a race favorite as the pipcount indicated and I was running low on time as well to try and do the math, so ended up going with my gut and hit.
      
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 6
pip: 56 | | 7 point match | pip: 49
score: 6
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-DBEBa-A---A--------bcbcb-:0:0:1:51:6:6:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 11/6 7/6 | eq: +0.219 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
39.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.219...+0.220) - [100.0%]
Duration: 0.9 second |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 11/5* | eq: +0.154 (-0.065) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
42.30% (G:3.08% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.153...+0.156) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10.9 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
Those who mentioned that they would hit if white had one more checker off also got it right.
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 6
pip: 54 | | 7 point match | pip: 49
score: 6
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-DBEBa-A---A--------bcbbb-:0:0:1:51:6:6:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 51 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 11/5* | eq: +0.061 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
46.97% (G:3.97% B:0.07%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.059...+0.062) - [100.0%]
Duration: 10.3 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 11/6 7/6 | eq: +0.010 (-0.051) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 50.48% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
49.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.009...+0.010) - [0.0%]
Duration: 0.9 second |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross