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How to fight a six-prime

Posted By: kruidenbuiltje
Date: Sunday, 11 December 2011, at 11:01 p.m.

In Response To: How to fight a six-prime (Timothy Chow)

Is there a better game plan, Havard asks, in his post.

I think there isn't.

But there is one play, 9/36 riskier, that might make the block really a 4-prime block.

Namely 13x9 8/3.

Followed by a dance (4/9) and a cover of the 3-slot (28/36).

Followed by an entry without a 5 or 6 (7/36).

Followed by a small or medium blue throw (3/4).

Followed by no 5 or 6, and hopefully a 5-prime for white (4/9).

Followed by a 6 for blue (11/36).

The chance is 4/9 * 28/36 * 7/36 * 3/4 * 4/9 * 11/36 =

16/81 * 77/1296 * 84/144 =

about 1/5 * 6% * 4/7 =

about 0,7%.

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