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2a5a cube from Zagreb finale

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 12 December 2011, at 8:38 p.m.

In Response To: 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale (mtuhtan)

The live cube take point.

  • Double/Pass is 5 away 1 away or 16% ME
  • Double/Take/Lose is 0%
  • Double/Take/Win is 1 away 2 away Crawford or 68%

You're risking 16% to gain 52%. Risk/(risk+gain) gives us 16/(16+52) or 16/68 = ~23%.

The gammons are pretty low here otherwise I'd play on instead of cube. This has to be a stone cold drop. Up in the race 14 pips, no rolls play poorly, attacking possibilities and if not we bring it in quietly.

Double/Pass

Stick

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