Yes, indeed, the opp may give up some equity after hitting, but as Stick implies, if Morton was somewhat stronger than his opp, he may have been better off playing safe and almost certainly being ahead 9-8/11, a score from which weaker opps may make lots of mistakes.
       
 
       
 | | White is Player 2
score: 8
pip: 65 | | 11 point match | pip: 6
score: 5
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBB--a----------------bch-:1:-1:1:12:5:8:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 12 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 2/Off 1/Off | eq: +2.5715 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 98.63% (G:66.99% B:34.51%)
1.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0015 (+2.5700...+2.5730) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 08 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 2/1 2/Off | eq: +2.5653 (-0.0062) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 100.00% (G:99.35% B:19.30%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0002 (+2.5651...+2.5655) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1.5 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67389374
Moves and cube decisions: XG Roller++
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 8
pip: 65 | | 11 point match | pip: 6
score: 5
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBB--a----------------bch-:1:-1:1:12:5:8:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 12 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 2/Off 1/Off | eq: +2.5884 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 98.72% (G:67.29% B:34.95%)
1.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0030 (+2.5855...+2.5914) - [100.0%]
Duration: 0.2 second |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 2/1 2/Off | eq: +2.5660 (-0.0225) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 100.00% (G:99.42% B:19.30%)
0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Conf.: ±0.0003 (+2.5656...+2.5663) - [0.0%]
Duration: 0.0 second |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 67389374
Moves and cube decisions: 1-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2