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OLM Sa 12/10/11 ROLLOUT (3 different scores)

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 11:56 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Sa 12/10/11 (Jason Lee)





White is XG Roller++

score: 0
pip: 177
15 point match
pip: 183
score: 2

Blue is BGO Readers
XGID=b---aBD-B---dB--Ac-eA--AB-:0:0:1:00:2:0:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.99% (G:26.28% B:1.71%) 63.14% (G:26.44% B:1.69%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.01% (G:9.30% B:0.54%) 36.86% (G:9.13% B:0.55%)
Cubeless Equities +0.447 +0.901
Cubeful Equities
* No double:+0.629±0.006 (+0.624..+0.635)
Double/Take:+0.548 (-0.081)±0.008 (+0.541..+0.556)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.371)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 15.2%
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 80870821
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 hours 44 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 177
15 point match
pip: 183
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=b---aBD-B---dB--Ac-eA--AB-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.95% (G:26.23% B:1.68%) 63.23% (G:26.46% B:1.74%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.05% (G:9.30% B:0.56%) 36.77% (G:9.37% B:0.60%)
Cubeless Equities +0.444 +0.918
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.659±0.006 (+0.653..+0.665)
Double/Take:+0.621 (-0.037)±0.008 (+0.614..+0.629)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.341)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.0%
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 17736424
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 16 hours 05 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 177
15 point match
pip: 183
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=b---aBD-B---dB--Ac-eA--AB-:0:0:1:00:0:2:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 62.91% (G:26.08% B:1.64%) 63.18% (G:26.51% B:1.66%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.09% (G:9.42% B:0.57%) 36.82% (G:9.56% B:0.65%)
Cubeless Equities +0.436 +0.920
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.681 (-0.002)±0.005 (+0.676..+0.686)
Double/Take:+0.682±0.007 (+0.675..+0.690)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.318)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 14398546
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:65.4%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 15 hours 37 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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