W is more plausible than I thought it would be. I guess it's not so easy for White to attack all of our blots while cleaning up her own.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 155 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 164
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----E-C--BdC---c-cab--AA:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | Bar/22 | eq: -0.427 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.93% (G:9.97% B:0.51%)
59.07% (G:20.47% B:0.96%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | Bar/23 6/5 | eq: -0.434 (-0.007) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.45% (G:10.26% B:0.49%)
58.55% (G:21.69% B:1.32%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24 6/4 | eq: -0.446 (-0.019) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.36% (G:11.05% B:0.62%)
59.64% (G:21.16% B:1.52%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24 13/11 | eq: -0.505 (-0.078) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.83% (G:10.16% B:0.53%)
61.17% (G:20.43% B:1.25%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | Bar/23 24/23 | eq: -0.515 (-0.088) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.14% (G:9.56% B:0.44%)
61.86% (G:18.30% B:0.93%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | Bar/23 11/10 | eq: -0.524 (-0.097) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.66% (G:9.94% B:0.46%)
61.34% (G:22.02% B:1.43%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
This one is a good DQR candidate because I'd like to know how to estimate Black's winning chances after 5/off 2/off.
Two somewhat related problems (where you have to estimate your winning chances if you don't hit) that spring to mind are this one and this one.
    
 
     
| | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 62 | | 5 point match | pip: 65
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-ABaDDD------------a-cddb-:1:1:1:52:3:1:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 52 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 6/1 5/3* | eq: +0.621 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 81.20% (G:3.40% B:0.06%)
18.80% (G:0.17% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 5/0ff 2/0ff | eq: +0.489 (-0.131) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 74.46% (G:0.12% B:0.00%)
25.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 1
pip: 62 | | 5 point match | pip: 65
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-ABaDDD-------------bbddb-:1:1:1:52:3:1:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 52 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 5/0ff 2/0ff | eq: +0.465 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 73.26% (G:0.13% B:0.00%)
26.74% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 6/1 5/3* | eq: +0.446 (-0.019) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 72.51% (G:1.75% B:0.02%)
27.49% (G:0.21% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
  
 
| | White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 164 | | 5 point match | pip: 142
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---abCBbBa-BCB-A-abb-bb---:1:-1:1:53:3:3:0:5:10 |
| Blue to play 53 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 15/10 13/10 | eq: +0.277 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.87% (G:12.90% B:0.48%)
36.13% (G:6.95% B:0.20%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 15/12 13/8 | eq: +0.217 (-0.060) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.86% (G:13.97% B:0.59%)
39.14% (G:7.91% B:0.24%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 11/8 11/6 | eq: +0.217 (-0.060) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.85% (G:16.24% B:0.73%)
39.15% (G:8.84% B:0.25%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 15/10 12/9* | eq: +0.190 (-0.088) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.48% (G:17.52% B:0.94%)
40.52% (G:11.97% B:0.47%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 12/9* 8/3* | eq: +0.189 (-0.089) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.44% (G:19.37% B:1.02%)
40.56% (G:12.70% B:0.81%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 13/8 12/9* | eq: +0.186 (-0.091) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.31% (G:17.16% B:0.89%)
40.69% (G:12.29% B:0.70%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross