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2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 5:36 p.m.

In Response To: 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts (Neil Robins)

Neil wrote:

I'd think if you didn't understand METS you would be inclined to figure taking risks one point to gain five.

This seems like a rephrasing of Miran's original suggestion. Are there really that many people who would get as far as thinking about the odds quantitatively in this way and yet think that they're risking one point to potentially gain five? I guess it's possible, but it would surprise me.

Miran's second suggestion that people don't try to make any quantitative estimate and just think that 5a1a is "hopeless anyway" sounds more plausible to me than the suggestion that people go to the trouble of trying to put a number on it and get the wrong numbers.

Messages In This Thread

• 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
  mtuhtan -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 6:17 p.m.
  • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
    Snua -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 6:21 p.m.
    • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
      Snua -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 6:23 p.m.
    • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
      neilkaz -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 6:39 p.m.
      • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
        Snua -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 6:59 p.m.
        • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
          Snua -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 7:07 p.m.
          • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
            neilkaz -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 7:16 p.m.
        • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
          neilkaz -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 7:12 p.m.
  • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
    neilkaz -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 6:32 p.m.
  • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 7:05 p.m.
    • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
      Sam Pottle -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 7:24 p.m.
  • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
    Stick -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 8:38 p.m.
  • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 12 December 2011, at 9:46 p.m.
    • 2a5a cube from Zagreb finale
      higonefive -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 5:20 a.m.
  • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
    mtuhtan -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 5:45 p.m.
    • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 13 December 2011, at 9:19 p.m.
      • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
        mtuhtan -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 8:00 a.m.
        • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
          Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 10:09 a.m.
          • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
            Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 5:36 p.m.
            • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
              mtuhtan -- Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 8:53 a.m.
              • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
                Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 9:02 a.m.
                • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
                  mtuhtan -- Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 9:56 a.m.
                  • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
                    Stick -- Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 10:39 a.m.
            • Hopeless anyway
              Fabrice Liardet -- Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 9:58 a.m.
            • 2a5a cube - ROLLOUT and some thoughts
              Timothy Chow -- Friday, 16 December 2011, at 12:43 a.m.