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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Wednesday, 14 December 2011, at 8:01 p.m.

In Response To: Time to recube? (Neil Robins)

Big redouble for money and at 7a7a, with opponent only having the gammocidal recube to eight, the market is already lost. XGR++ is miles out with both of these. I should have recubed the roll before (bottom position).





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 75
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBBBB-----AA---dbAceB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.09% (G:13.76% B:0.50%) 74.97% (G:14.82% B:0.63%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.91% (G:11.29% B:1.12%) 25.03% (G:10.90% B:1.09%)
Cubeless Equities +0.500 +1.068
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.831 (-0.064)±0.008 (+0.823..+0.838)
Redouble/Take:+0.895±0.011 (+0.884..+0.906)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.105)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 40 minutes 25 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 75
7 point match
pip: 158
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBBBB-----AA---dbAceB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.01% (G:13.12% B:0.45%) 75.97% (G:14.52% B:0.89%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.99% (G:12.40% B:2.04%) 24.03% (G:12.44% B:4.20%)
Cubeless Equities +0.470 +1.115
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.863 (-0.137)±0.006 (+0.857..+0.869)
Redouble/Take:+1.052 (+0.052)±0.010 (+1.042..+1.062)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 50 minutes 04 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 75
7 point match
pip: 164
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBBBB-----A----dbBceB-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.00% (G:13.21% B:0.85%) 73.04% (G:14.15% B:1.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.00% (G:14.57% B:2.92%) 26.96% (G:14.97% B:5.56%)
Cubeless Equities +0.402 +0.940
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.810 (-0.070)±0.008 (+0.802..+0.818)
Redouble/Take:+0.880±0.011 (+0.869..+0.891)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.120)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 31247
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 58 minutes 41 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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