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How to fight a six-prime

Posted By: Fabrice Liardet
Date: Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 10:52 a.m.

In Response To: How to fight a six-prime (Timothy Chow)

I thought it would be very small. On 22 I hit on the ace, and on 11, 31 I think I would eschew the hit, but I am not sure. Still, let's say we hit on 11, 31 and 44, that's 11%. Then the opponent anchor in, say, 4% of cases. From here he might win 10% instead of 2.5%, so 4% * 7.5% = 0.3% extra games. All estimations were pretty generous I think.

Now of course there are some other figures to add. The life after hitting back on the ace, the prime-rolling catastrophes. I suppose they add up to the desired 1.5% but I am still a bit surprised.

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