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BGonline.org Forums
bridge probability question (OT) - a much easier answer.
Posted By: eXtreme Gammon In Response To: bridge probability question (OT) (eXtreme Gammon)
Date: Thursday, 15 December 2011, at 10:01 p.m.
Q: why do it complicated when you can make it simple.
A: because you can!There is a much easier reasonning
If you have 2N cards between 2 players and 2 Aces. one of the player hold an ace, the chances that he has the other one is that his (N-1) other card contain the ace. As there is (2N-1) card left it is (N-1)/(2N-1)with 2N=26 P=12/25, with 2N=4 P=1/3
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