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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Can I make Weaver misplay an opening reply? (Stick)
Date: Wednesday, 12 September 2007, at 3:18 p.m.
The answer is "no" since either play is likely to be correct. At the time Paul was also ahead -5 -7 so that may have some bearing on which play is more likely to be correct. For anyone interested he played 24/23 13/11. Is it wrong I got some sort of sick pleasure out of him rolling it after my purposeful play and wondering if he knew what was 'correct'? He didn't set up the hit...
The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0
gnubg 162
user 167 Position ID: 4HPiASTgc/ABMA Match ID: cAkFAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 6/3* -0.1787
0.4618 0.1196 0.0056 - 0.5382 0.1648 0.0102 -0.1262 -0.1787 0.0006 0.0005 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0006 0.0003 0.0016 0.0041 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067081154 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 24/23 13/11 -0.1837 ( -0.0050)
0.4586 0.1155 0.0045 - 0.5414 0.1521 0.0069 -0.1217 -0.1837 0.0005 0.0005 0.0001 - 0.0005 0.0005 0.0001 0.0012 0.0033 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1067081154 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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