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55 to play

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 18 December 2011, at 1:54 a.m.

In Response To: 55 to play (Matt Cohn-Geier)

We desperately need to hit, and four 5's are really more than we would like, so I'd start with 6/1 to get rid of one of them. For the remaining three 5's, the candidates I see are:

1. 6/1 21/11

2. 6/1 19/9

3. 19/14 21/11

4. 21/16 19/9

Of these, 19/9 6/1 looks the weakest since it gives White many rolls that avoid a direct shot next turn, and it rips up our 6pt to boot. Between 21/11 19/14 and 21/16 19/9, I think 21/16 19/9 gives more coverage. So that means my second 5 is 21/16, and I'm choosing between 19/9 and 16/11 6/1. Staying further back counts for more than keeping our 6pt, I think. Putting this all together, I'm playing 21/11 6/1(2). Only a few White rolls avoid giving us a direct shot next turn.

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