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Daily Quiz 12/14: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 18 December 2011, at 6:28 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 12/14 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
7 point match
pip: 153
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----aECB--acBb--bAdbB----:0:0:1:61:4:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 61

1.XG Roller+8/7 8/2eq: -0.786
Player:
Opponent:		 32.73% (G:5.99% B:0.20%)
67.27% (G:9.96% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller+13/7 6/5* eq: -0.862 (-0.076)
Player:
Opponent:		 35.12% (G:7.49% B:0.29%)
64.88% (G:16.91% B:0.66%)
3.XG Roller+7/1 6/5* eq: -0.894 (-0.108)
Player:
Opponent:		 34.60% (G:7.80% B:0.27%)
65.40% (G:17.73% B:0.70%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

For money:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-----aECB--acBb--bAdbB----:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.XG Roller+8/7 8/2eq: -0.608
Player:
Opponent:		 32.68% (G:5.84% B:0.20%)
67.32% (G:9.84% B:0.38%)
2.XG Roller+21/15 6/5* eq: -0.616 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		 37.17% (G:8.62% B:0.47%)
62.83% (G:23.75% B:1.87%)
3.XG Roller+13/7 6/5* eq: -0.619 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:		 35.18% (G:7.52% B:0.30%)
64.82% (G:17.75% B:0.80%)
4.XG Roller+7/1 6/5* eq: -0.627 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:		 34.81% (G:7.82% B:0.27%)
65.19% (G:17.79% B:0.76%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

I'm a bit annoyed with myself for misjudging this problem, because of its family resemblance to the decision below, which I messed up recently. I need to remember that 8/7 8/2 isn't as bad as I think it is.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 121
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 125
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B--a-DCB---cB---cBcc--b--:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.XG Roller+8/7 8/2eq: -0.193
Player:
Opponent:		 44.43% (G:3.66% B:0.04%)
55.57% (G:6.04% B:0.17%)
2.XG Roller+13/6eq: -0.379 (-0.185)
Player:
Opponent:		 39.84% (G:4.37% B:0.08%)
60.16% (G:9.09% B:0.29%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 125
7 point match
pip: 159
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-A--DbB---aBb--babcC-b-A:1:1:1:33:4:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 33

1.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18*(2) 6/3eq: -0.152
Player:
Opponent:		 47.89% (G:18.27% B:0.59%)
52.11% (G:18.58% B:0.96%)
2.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 18/15 6/3eq: -0.214 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		 44.37% (G:16.58% B:0.56%)
55.63% (G:17.15% B:0.83%)
3.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 18/12* eq: -0.257 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		 43.39% (G:15.72% B:0.42%)
56.61% (G:18.74% B:0.96%)
4.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 6/3(2)eq: -0.324 (-0.172)
Player:
Opponent:		 40.69% (G:14.38% B:0.53%)
59.31% (G:19.32% B:0.91%)
5.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18*(3) eq: -0.348 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:		 41.17% (G:12.36% B:0.45%)
58.83% (G:21.79% B:1.00%)
6.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 8/5(2)eq: -0.397 (-0.245)
Player:
Opponent:		 39.73% (G:14.85% B:0.52%)
60.27% (G:23.47% B:1.27%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

For money:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 125
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-A--DbB---aBb--babcC-b-A:1:1:1:33:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18*(2) 6/3eq: +0.123
Player:
Opponent:		 48.05% (G:19.08% B:0.60%)
51.95% (G:19.00% B:1.06%)
2.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 18/15 6/3eq: +0.025 (-0.098)
Player:
Opponent:		 44.40% (G:16.94% B:0.53%)
55.60% (G:17.72% B:0.94%)
3.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 18/12* eq: -0.011 (-0.134)
Player:
Opponent:		 43.53% (G:16.04% B:0.38%)
56.47% (G:18.90% B:1.00%)
4.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 6/3(2)eq: -0.090 (-0.213)
Player:
Opponent:		 41.13% (G:14.88% B:0.53%)
58.87% (G:19.65% B:0.98%)
5.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18*(3) eq: -0.127 (-0.251)
Player:
Opponent:		 41.31% (G:12.15% B:0.39%)
58.69% (G:21.17% B:0.99%)
6.XG Roller+Bar/22 21/18* 8/5(2)eq: -0.153 (-0.276)
Player:
Opponent:		 39.88% (G:14.95% B:0.47%)
60.12% (G:23.09% B:1.28%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
White is Player 1

score: 4
pip: 157
7 point match
pip: 157
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aa--BBBB----dE---c-d-b--B-:0:0:1:00:0:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 66.40% (G: 22.28% B: 0.96%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.60% (G: 8.40% B: 0.39%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.468
Double:+1.068
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.886 (-0.114)
Double/Take:+1.043 (+0.043)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

For money:





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 157
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 157
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=aa--BBBB----dE---c-d-b--B-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 66.94% (G: 21.46% B: 1.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.06% (G: 8.42% B: 0.39%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.339
Double:+0.962
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.729 (-0.009)
Double/Take:+0.738
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.262)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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