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Rollout: Three random pay-now-or-pay-later problems

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 22 December 2011, at 3:38 p.m.

In Response To: Three random pay-now-or-pay-later problems (Ian Shaw)

Good job, Ian! 3 out of 3.





White is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 153
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 82
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bCBCaB-Cb-B------bcbba---:0:0:1:42:3:6:1:7:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout18/2eq: +0.538
Player:
Opponent:
63.70% (G:25.44% B:6.22%)
36.30% (G:3.67% B:0.12%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (+0.530...+0.546)
Duration: 2 hours 17 minutes
2.Rollout111/5* eq: +0.431 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:
55.16% (G:31.17% B:12.99%)
44.84% (G:6.68% B:0.32%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.421...+0.441)
Duration: 2 hours 48 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 99
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bBBCBbD---aBa--a-bbbb---:1:-1:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: +0.384
Player:
Opponent:
70.27% (G:13.09% B:0.58%)
29.73% (G:3.08% B:0.09%)
Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.371...+0.397)
Duration: 3 hours 37 minutes
2.Rollout18/5 8/3eq: +0.304 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:
66.45% (G:15.15% B:0.55%)
33.55% (G:4.01% B:0.13%)
Conf: ± 0.015 (+0.289...+0.319)
Duration: 2 hours 57 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 110
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 95
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--ABCCBbB---b---B-abbcab--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout18/4 8/2eq: +0.087
Player:
Opponent:
59.64% (G:5.67% B:0.08%)
40.36% (G:5.01% B:0.17%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (+0.078...+0.096)
Duration: 25 minutes 32 seconds
2.Rollout28/2 5/1eq: +0.019 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
56.00% (G:11.71% B:0.43%)
44.00% (G:7.84% B:0.23%)
Conf: ± 0.010 (+0.009...+0.029)
Duration: 20 minutes 32 seconds
3.Rollout216/6eq: -0.061 (-0.148)
Player:
Opponent:
51.83% (G:10.63% B:0.38%)
48.17% (G:2.74% B:0.07%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.069...-0.053)
Duration: 22 minutes 24 seconds
1 1023 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1022 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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