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Daily Quiz 12/19: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 22 December 2011, at 3:43 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 12/19 (Daily Quiz)

I'm a little surprised that 24/18 scores so well.

And now I realize that I forgot to include bar/14 in the list of candidates...whoops. It wasn't close but it's still instructive to see how far back XGR+ puts it.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
7 point match
pip: 181
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a--aD-D---dD---d-e----BA:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 65

1.XG Roller+Bar/20 8/2* eq: -0.306
Player:
Opponent:
43.14% (G:9.85% B:0.35%)
56.86% (G:15.83% B:1.08%)
2.XG Roller+Bar/20 24/18eq: -0.321 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
43.33% (G:8.84% B:0.36%)
56.67% (G:16.63% B:0.78%)
3.XG Roller+Bar/20 13/7eq: -0.342 (-0.036)
Player:
Opponent:
42.72% (G:9.85% B:0.38%)
57.28% (G:17.15% B:1.26%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 187
7 point match
pip: 152
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aaaBBcC-B---BAa--b-bbAbB--:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 59.05% (G: 28.12% B: 2.38%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.95% (G: 10.87% B: 0.58%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.377
Double:+0.747
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.520
Double/Take:+0.425 (-0.094)
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.480)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross


Given that the responses were all over the map, this might make a good DQR candidate. Though I think Mr Majestyk hit the high points already.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
1 point match
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aD--DBB--B-ba-a---bbbbbA-:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 61

1.XG Roller+7/1* 2/1eq: -0.242
Player:
Opponent:
37.89% (G:13.03% B:0.23%)
62.11% (G:13.01% B:0.47%)
2.XG Roller+10/4 5/4eq: -0.316 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent:
34.22% (G:8.88% B:0.30%)
65.78% (G:13.97% B:0.60%)
3.XG Roller+24/18 2/1* eq: -0.349 (-0.107)
Player:
Opponent:
32.55% (G:8.73% B:0.19%)
67.45% (G:23.08% B:0.85%)
4.XG Roller+7/6 7/1* eq: -0.506 (-0.264)
Player:
Opponent:
24.71% (G:6.99% B:0.13%)
75.29% (G:20.95% B:0.90%)
5.XG Roller+24/17eq: -0.549 (-0.306)
Player:
Opponent:
22.56% (G:2.80% B:0.12%)
77.44% (G:18.31% B:0.57%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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