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55 leads to differing game plans - Rollout

Posted By: Jeremy Bagai
Date: Friday, 23 December 2011, at 6:07 p.m.

In Response To: 55 leads to differing game plans (Jeremy Bagai)





White is JediMenace

score: 0
pip: 153
9 point match
pip: 168
score: 0

Blue is JeremyB
XGID=--a-B-E-AA--eBa--c-e-C--A-:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:9:10
Blue to play 55

1.Rollout121/16(2) 13/8(2)eq: +0.118
Player:
Opponent:
50.66% (G:18.20% B:0.48%)
49.34% (G:11.56% B:0.57%)
Conf.: ± 0.033 (+0.085...+0.151) - [60.1%]
Duration: 3 minutes 13 seconds
2.Rollout121/16(3) 13/8eq: +0.111 (-0.007)
Player:
Opponent:
50.99% (G:16.61% B:0.72%)
49.01% (G:11.64% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ± 0.044 (+0.067...+0.155) - [39.9%]
Duration: 3 minutes 22 seconds
3.Rollout121/11 13/8(2)eq: -0.039 (-0.157)
Player:
Opponent:
46.78% (G:15.47% B:0.35%)
53.22% (G:8.46% B:0.40%)
Conf.: ± 0.044 (-0.083...+0.005) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 11 seconds
4.Rollout113/8(2) 6/1(2)eq: -0.079 (-0.198)
Player:
Opponent:
45.83% (G:16.98% B:0.28%)
54.17% (G:10.92% B:0.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.035 (-0.115...-0.044) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 52 seconds
5.Rollout121/16(2) 21/11eq: -0.108 (-0.226)
Player:
Opponent:
47.29% (G:14.96% B:0.63%)
52.71% (G:13.55% B:0.82%)
Conf.: ± 0.036 (-0.144...-0.072) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 29 seconds
1 108 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

I tried 21/11 13/8(2), keeping the anchor and the blocking point and leaving no direct shots. I wasn't concerned about "leaving the back men stranded" since I had a nice advanced anchor.

XG+ liked 21/16(3) 13/8, and I was surprised it was willing to leave a direct shot for connectivity. 21/16(2) 13/8(2) was pretty far down the list, but moved to the top after rollout.

Thanks for the comments, gang.

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