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Plies & Rollouts Galore

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 14 September 2007, at 7:56 a.m.

In Response To: What and impress me with the WHY (Stick)

I wish it wasn't 4am and I didn't have to get up in 1 1/2 hrs and go to Vegas tomorrow but I do so the formatting is for shit. The explanation will be even shittier, you can make heads or tails of all the info yourselves :) The why I was looking for is all the gammons won if you run even though sticking on the anchor clearly wins more games. Breaking the board loses more Gs too. Yada yada yada ----

gnubg96


 ' '2X3X2O3X2X3X ' '2X '

3O2O2O2O2O2O ' ' ' ' ' '

user83

Position ID: 7NyOAQC3bQMAAw Match ID: cIkRAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 20/13 -0.3940
0.36890.06890.0007-0.63110.03180.0009 -0.2252 -0.3940
0.00040.00060.0000-0.00040.00020.0000 0.0008 0.0019
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3828 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069718577 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 6/3 6/2 -0.3992 ( -0.0051)
0.39030.02840.0003-0.60970.05220.0010 -0.2439 -0.3992
0.00060.00050.0001-0.00060.00050.0001 0.0013 0.0029
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3828 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069718577 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 5/2 5/1 -0.4109 ( -0.0169)
0.38690.02100.0002-0.61310.05080.0010 -0.2568 -0.4109
0.00120.00090.0000-0.00120.00130.0001 0.0028 0.0062
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
855 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1069752940 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

1. Cubeful 2-ply 6/3 6/2 Eq.: -0.3028

0.4136 0.0153 0.0000 - 0.5864 0.0475 0.0006

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

6. Cubeful 2-ply 20/13 Eq.: -0.3730 ( -0.0702)

0.3784 0.0775 0.0006 - 0.6216 0.0336 0.0011

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Snowie4 Professional Edition Version 4.6 HTML Export

GNU (Green) vs. Snowie (White)
Money session. Score Green-White: 0-0




Pip: 96
Game 1
Money session

Green-White:
Score 0-0
Pip: 83
#PlyMoveEquity
1R20/13-0.372
0.1% 7.4% 35.7% 64.3% 3.5% 0.1%
Live cube rollout: -0.398
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.248 ±0.008,
- live cube: -0.398 ±0.009.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
1296 games (equiv. 79912 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
settlement 0.550 at 4 pts,
random seed, with race database.
2R6/2 6/3-0.377 (-0.005)
0.0% 2.7% 39.0% 61.0% 5.5% 0.1%
Live cube rollout: -0.399
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.249 ±0.008,
- live cube: -0.399 ±0.015.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
1296 games (equiv. 90077 games),
played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply,
settlement 0.550 at 4 pts,
random seed, with race database.

Snowie4 Professional Edition Version 4.6 HTML Export

GNU (Green) vs. Snowie (White)
Money session. Score Green-White: 0-0




Pip: 96
Game 1
Money session

Green-White:
Score 0-0
Pip: 83
#PlyMoveEquity
1320/13-0.354
0.1% 7.8% 35.4% 64.6% 3.3% 0.1%
Speed Parameter: Precise.
236/2 6/3-0.406 (-0.052)
0.0% 1.5% 38.2% 61.8% 5.6% 0.1%
Speed Parameter: Precise.

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