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Rollout - Play

Posted By: KenB
Date: Thursday, 5 January 2012, at 7:32 p.m.

In Response To: Cube? Play? (KenB)

I considered making the 4 but I made the 2, basically, I was deciding between a whooper and a whooper with cheese. You have to run here. It turns out that running is correct even non-ATS but not by as large of margin (see lower rollout).

is XG Roller+

score: 4
pip: 142
7 point match
pip: 120
score: 3

is KenBame
XGID=aBAb-BC-CB--b------ccbbB--:1:1:1:52:3:4:0:7:10
to play 52

1.Rollout123/16eq: +0.322
Player:
Opponent:
44.95% (G:16.53% B:1.14%)
55.05% (G:21.36% B:2.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.311...+0.334) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 44 seconds
2.Rollout19/2eq: +0.202 (-0.120)
Player:
Opponent:
41.81% (G:16.39% B:0.72%)
58.19% (G:16.15% B:1.19%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.193...+0.212) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 58 seconds
3.Rollout19/4 6/4eq: +0.175 (-0.147)
Player:
Opponent:
41.22% (G:16.39% B:0.90%)
58.78% (G:17.79% B:2.93%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.165...+0.185) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 10842456
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

At -7 -7

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 142
7 point match
pip: 120
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=aBAb-BC-CB--b------ccbbB--:1:1:1:52:0:0:0:7:10
to play 52

1.Rollout123/16eq: -0.017
Player:
Opponent:
45.22% (G:14.32% B:0.81%)
54.78% (G:21.84% B:1.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.026...-0.007) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 14 seconds
2.Rollout19/2eq: -0.063 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:
42.34% (G:13.07% B:0.56%)
57.66% (G:17.72% B:0.75%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.071...-0.055) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 04 seconds
3.Rollout19/4 6/4eq: -0.086 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:
41.72% (G:13.74% B:0.88%)
58.28% (G:19.04% B:0.92%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.094...-0.077) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 34 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 10842456
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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