I considered making the 4 but I made the 2, basically, I was deciding between a whooper and a whooper with cheese. You have to run here. It turns out that running is correct even non-ATS but not by as large of margin (see lower rollout).
| | is XG Roller+
score: 4 pip: 142 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |  | | | 7 point match |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | pip: 120 score: 3
is KenBame |
|
| XGID=aBAb-BC-CB--b------ccbbB--:1:1:1:52:3:4:0:7:10 |
to play 52 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/16 | eq: +0.322 |
| Player: Opponent: | 44.95% (G:16.53% B:1.14%) 55.05% (G:21.36% B:2.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.311...+0.334) - [100.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 44 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/2 | eq: +0.202 (-0.120) |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.81% (G:16.39% B:0.72%) 58.19% (G:16.15% B:1.19%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.193...+0.212) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 9/4 6/4 | eq: +0.175 (-0.147) |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.22% (G:16.39% B:0.90%) 58.78% (G:17.79% B:2.93%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.165...+0.185) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 18 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 10842456 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
At -7 -7
| | is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 142 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| | | |  | | | 7 point match |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | pip: 120 score: 0
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBAb-BC-CB--b------ccbbB--:1:1:1:52:0:0:0:7:10 |
to play 52 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/16 | eq: -0.017 |
| Player: Opponent: | 45.22% (G:14.32% B:0.81%) 54.78% (G:21.84% B:1.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.026...-0.007) - [100.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 14 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 9/2 | eq: -0.063 (-0.046) |
| Player: Opponent: | 42.34% (G:13.07% B:0.56%) 57.66% (G:17.72% B:0.75%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.071...-0.055) - [0.0%] Duration: 13 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 9/4 6/4 | eq: -0.086 (-0.069) |
| Player: Opponent: | 41.72% (G:13.74% B:0.88%) 58.28% (G:19.04% B:0.92%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.094...-0.077) - [0.0%] Duration: 12 minutes 34 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 10842456 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross