Every turn I keep giving you the dice to point on my head, and you just won't do it! Well this time I'm sorry to report you did do it. The vote was tied but I asked my housemate 'odd or even' and he picked odd, which I had assigned as the 3 pt. Snowie 3 ply also made the 3 pt., so either way you were making the 3 on a tie vote.
It's hard to resist hitting here but I would have played safe. If there was another spare on the 8 pt. obviously you hit by a large margin, but there isn't, and hitting not only leaves a few return shots, which aren't the end of the world, but also what I see as a semi-awkward structure. (esp. if you can't remake the 8 next turn!) The play before I was for the quiet play to 'creep up on an efficient cube' and I don't think anything has changed here. I will move my back checker to safety if possible next turn, and then you're still ahead in the race, if I can't safety it then would be the time to attack. (plenty of spares, better distribution)
| 142 |                         |
| 134 | |
| Board image courtesy of GO-Figure | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
| 1 | R | 13/8 11/8 | 0.456 | |
| 0.1% 4.4% 64.9% 35.1% 2.5% 0.1% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: 0.498 | ||||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.317 ±0.008, - live cube: 0.498 ±0.014. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 77693 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, seed 1, with race database. | ||||
| 2 | R | 8/3* 6/3 | 0.427 (-0.028) | |
| 0.5% 10.2% 62.7% 37.3% 7.0% 0.2% | ||||
| Live cube rollout: 0.462 | ||||
| 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.288 ±0.011, - live cube: 0.462 ±0.021. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 1296 games (equiv. 46954 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, seed 1, with race database. | ||||