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BGonline.org Forums
Daily Quiz 1/10
Posted By: kruidenbuiltje In Response To: Daily Quiz 1/10 (Daily Quiz)
Date: Thursday, 12 January 2012, at 12:24 p.m.
Hi,
3:
First suppose there wont be a hit:
When all other checkers would be in a no-miss position we could add a wastage of 3,5 to the pipcount, because of the outfield checker.
This would give an EPC: 33,5 - 44,5 in pipples: 410-545
I thinks we should add some wastage for white since white doesn't have a no-miss.
A pipple-count for blue:
P = 70 + 160 + 210 = 440
S = 17
+17
Total 474
White:
P = 240 + 150 + 180 = 570
S = 16
+17
Total 603
It seems we should add extra wastage for both.
Let's look at it one other way:
Blue's position is between a 5 and 6-no miss, closer to a 6-no miss: EPC 36 - 43: pipples 441-527, medium 484
White's position is between 6 and 7-no-miss, even closer to 7, EPC 43-50: pipples 527-612, medium 569
I think the 474 - 603 is allright: Blue's winning chance is 70,5 + 18 = 88,5%
Now let's assume white hits blue 25% of the time.
So white wins 25% + 75% x 11,5%, 33,5% totally.
This should be redouble and take
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