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Daily Quiz 1/13: GNU 4-ply evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 16 January 2012, at 4:05 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 1/13 (Daily Quiz)

Board inversion alert!


GNU 2-ply and GNU 4-ply differ quite a bit here, with GNU 2-ply being almost inclined to pass. A rollout is needed, I think.

The score is: gnubg 4, tchow 0 (match to 7 points)

gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg84


2X1X1X2O4X2X '3O5X ' '1O

 '2O '2O2O2O ' '1O ' ' '

tchow149

Position ID: ZhshHAYrb3wAAA Match ID: MAHgAEAAAAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.686(Money: +0.686)
 0.760 0.188 0.002 - 0.240 0.024 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.891 
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.109
3.No double +0.862 -0.029
Proper cube action:Double, take

 


The score is: gnubg 0, tchow 0 (match to 5 points)

gnubg149


2O ' ' ' '5X2X2X ' ' '5O

1X '2O2O '3O '1O ' ' '5X

tchow153

Position ID: bE7wATDg2+ADIA Match ID: MAGlAAAAAAAA

• gnubg moves 24/23 13/11

# Ply Move Equity
1 4 24/23 13/11 +0.034
  0.528 0.124 0.006 - 0.472 0.163 0.003  
  2 4 13/10 +0.005 ( -0.029)
  0.516 0.128 0.006 - 0.484 0.161 0.004  
  3 4 7/5 6/5 -0.028 ( -0.062)
  0.506 0.144 0.007 - 0.494 0.176 0.007  
  4 4 13/11 6/5 -0.097 ( -0.130)
  0.500 0.130 0.006 - 0.500 0.200 0.009  


So maybe 13/9 6/5 isn't too loose after all. Not sure why I missed 14/8 as an option; I guess once I started thinking about bold moves, 14/13 dropped off my radar screen.

The score is: gnubg 4, tchow 2 (match to 5 points, post-Crawford play)

gnubg135


 ' ' ' ' '6X1X4X1O '1O3O

 ' ' '1X2O4O '2O ' '2O3X

tchow141

Position ID: 4NeDAwSwZ8wlAA Match ID: QYmmAEAAEAAA

• tchow moves 16/11 6/5

# Ply Move Equity
  1 4 13/8 6/5 +0.320
  0.545 0.115 0.003 - 0.455 0.095 0.003  
2 4 16/11 6/5 +0.304 ( -0.016)
  0.555 0.097 0.002 - 0.445 0.066 0.002  
  3 4 14/8 +0.304 ( -0.016)
  0.555 0.097 0.002 - 0.445 0.067 0.002  
  4 4 14/9 6/5 +0.278 ( -0.042)
  0.527 0.112 0.002 - 0.473 0.097 0.003  
  5 4 11/5 +0.274 ( -0.046)
  0.519 0.117 0.003 - 0.481 0.104 0.004  
  6 4 16/15 14/9 +0.270 ( -0.050)
  0.527 0.108 0.003 - 0.473 0.095 0.003  
  7 4 16/15 13/8 +0.257 ( -0.063)
  0.516 0.112 0.003 - 0.484 0.104 0.003  
  8 4 16/11 14/13 +0.249 ( -0.071)
  0.554 0.070 0.001 - 0.446 0.037 0.001  
  9 4 16/10 +0.247 ( -0.073)
  0.518 0.106 0.003 - 0.482 0.097 0.003  

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