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JellyFish 3.0 Says...

Posted By: mamabear
Date: Friday, 21 September 2007, at 3:09 a.m.

In Response To: Can the bot possibly be right? (Frankie D)

JellyFish certainly isn't the last word on anything in BG, but it's good to consult here because a) it doesn't play or defend backgames or roll primes anywhere near as badly as people seem to think, and b) what it can do, it does fast! Here is a summary of the results of nominal 2-ply ("Level 6" in Fishspeak) full cubeless rollouts, 1440 trials each which variance reduce to over 15000 trials:

6/2*/1* +.711 @ .011 SD

13/9, 8/7 +.667@ .011 SD (-.044)

11/7, 8/7 +.626 @ .012 SD (-.085)

On its nominal 3-ply ("Level 7") evaluation, JellyFish put the double hit in 4th place by only .028, so it never really hated it, it just wouldn't do it. Same as most of us would feel if we ran into this position OTB, maybe?

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