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OTB and rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 6:47 p.m.

In Response To: Dub 5's and a 4 cube (neilkaz)

OTB, I took a good 30 seconds here to decide and decided to run around since my GV is low. But the rollout tells me that I win so many extra G's that I should just attack.

Problems with running around are that the opp may toss a 61 joker and that we may face issues walking the prime in since the opp may soon close his 5 pt and then we can be counterprimed. That is what happened in the game, but I was able to safely achieve a winning close out and then win the match next game.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 0, user 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 6: user to play 55

Pip counts: gnubg 118, user 125
Position ID: bO4GAxDYbisAAw Match ID: Qom2AAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/3(2) 7/2*(2)	+0.6766
			0.7995 0.3202 0.0111 - 0.2005 0.0466 0.0074 +0.7335 +0.6766 0.0013 0.0030 0.0015 - 0.0013 0.0025 0.0014 0.0029 0.0033
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1717 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1071514249 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	20/10(2)	+0.6533 ( -0.0233)
			0.8340 0.0685 0.0016 - 0.1660 0.0142 0.0004 +0.6954 +0.6533 0.0010 0.0018 0.0004 - 0.0010 0.0013 0.0005 0.0021 0.0024
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1717 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1071514249 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	4	20/15(2) 10/5 9/4	+0.6263 ( -0.0503)
			0.8061 0.1522 0.0020 - 0.1939 0.0255 0.0008
	4	2	20/15(2) 7/2*(2)	+0.5646 ( -0.1120)
			0.7675 0.2133 0.0018 - 0.2325 0.0325 0.0011
	5	0	20/15(2) 10/5 6/1	+0.4898 ( -0.1868)
			0.7485 0.1395 0.0014 - 0.2515 0.0315 0.0005

Messages In This Thread

• Dub 5's and a 4 cube
  neilkaz -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 3:26 a.m.
  • Dub 5's and a 4 cube
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 3:39 a.m.
  • Dub 5's and a 4 cube
    Ian Dunstan -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 3:42 a.m.
  • Dub 5's and a 4 cube
    John O'Hagan -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 4:36 a.m.
  • Dub 5's and a 4 cube
    Stick -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 5:21 a.m.
    • Exaggeration
      Stick -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 5:26 a.m.
  • Dub 5's and a 4 cube
    MandM1951 -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 9:54 a.m.
  • OTB and rollout
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 22 September 2007, at 6:47 p.m.