I struck out this time! :-(
          
 
       
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 87 | | 11 point match | pip: 124
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--BaC-C-B-B------aCdcbbb--:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 18/10 | eq: -0.596 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.95% (G:1.31% B:0.03%)
66.05% (G:8.43% B:0.14%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 18/16(2) 18/14 | eq: -0.693 (-0.097) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.44% (G:1.05% B:0.03%)
66.56% (G:12.59% B:0.17%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 18/16 10/8 10/6 | eq: -0.819 (-0.223) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.73% (G:1.25% B:0.03%)
70.27% (G:9.30% B:0.13%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
In the variant below, I'm less interested in the top play than in the fact that the second and third plays seem to be close.
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 83 | | 11 point match | pip: 124
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--BaC-C-B-B-------Cdccbb--:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 18/14(2) | eq: -0.687 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.42% (G:1.00% B:0.02%)
66.58% (G:11.55% B:0.18%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 18/16(2) 18/14 | eq: -0.788 (-0.101) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.62% (G:1.05% B:0.02%)
68.38% (G:12.82% B:0.13%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 18/10 | eq: -0.798 (-0.111) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.86% (G:0.89% B:0.02%)
70.14% (G:8.60% B:0.10%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
   
 
   
| | White is Player 2
score: 2
pip: 153 | | 11 point match | pip: 124
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=a---BBCBBA--dAb--cBe------:1:-1:1:33:0:2:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 33 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 13/10 9/3 6/3 | eq: +1.167 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 83.21% (G:52.61% B:0.79%)
16.79% (G:2.48% B:0.11%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 18/15 9/3 6/3 | eq: +1.137 (-0.029) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 83.65% (G:48.70% B:0.97%)
16.35% (G:2.43% B:0.11%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 18/15(2) 13/10 9/6 | eq: +1.117 (-0.050) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 85.17% (G:43.70% B:0.45%)
14.83% (G:1.97% B:0.09%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 9/3 8/5 6/3 | eq: +1.101 (-0.066) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80.66% (G:52.38% B:0.72%)
19.34% (G:2.90% B:0.14%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 18/15(2) 13/7 | eq: +1.097 (-0.069) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.27% (G:43.92% B:0.51%)
15.73% (G:2.10% B:0.09%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
| | White is Player 2
score: 4
pip: 121 | | 11 point match | pip: 122
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=a-aBCBB-B--A-A---bcdAbAb--:1:-1:1:64:0:4:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 13/7 11/7 | eq: +0.976 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 84.67% (G:28.87% B:0.90%)
15.33% (G:2.17% B:0.09%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 11/7 8/2* | eq: +0.936 (-0.039) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 78.17% (G:42.52% B:1.15%)
21.83% (G:9.21% B:1.85%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 22/16 20/16 | eq: +0.915 (-0.061) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 82.92% (G:27.46% B:0.76%)
17.08% (G:2.88% B:0.14%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 4
pip: 121 | | 11 point match | pip: 126
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=a-aBCBB-B--A-A---bcd-bAbA-:1:-1:1:64:0:4:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 64 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 24/20 8/2* | eq: +0.850 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 76.15% (G:39.55% B:1.17%)
23.85% (G:10.27% B:1.99%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 13/7 11/7 | eq: +0.848 (-0.002) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 80.23% (G:26.94% B:1.04%)
19.77% (G:3.66% B:0.18%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 24/20 22/16 | eq: +0.794 (-0.056) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 77.79% (G:28.82% B:1.12%)
22.21% (G:6.86% B:0.70%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross