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1-5 Back Game score based cube action? **ROLLOUT**

Posted By: Michael Depreli
Date: Wednesday, 1 February 2012, at 12:19 p.m.

In Response To: 1-5 Back Game score based cube action? (Michael Depreli)

Firstly some opinions:

0.990/1.109 Double/Pass GnuBG 2-ply
0.954/1.012 Double/Pass GnuBG 4-ply
0.961/1.001 Double/Pass Snowie 3-Ply
0.889/0.878 No Double/Take XG2 3-Ply
0.944/0.954 Double/Take XG2 XGR
0.917/0.928 Double/Take XG2 4-Ply
0.938/0.980 Double/Take XG2 XGR+
0.933/0.967 Double/Take XG2 XGR++





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 187
7 point match
pip: 78
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---AABBBA--------ccbBbcbD-:0:0:-1:D:1:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.90% (G:47.56% B:11.66%) 66.53% (G:47.16% B:25.31%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.10% (G:2.65% B:0.11%) 33.47% (G:2.77% B:0.15%)
Cubeless Equities +1.056 +1.397
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.847±0.009 (+0.838..+0.857)
Double/Take:+0.741 (-0.106)±0.020 (+0.721..+0.761)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.153)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 29.1%
Rollout details
2349 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 hours 08 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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