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BGonline.org Forums
65R-41S-43D-21@-42Z-21P-51P-55P-C-11, money rollout
Posted By: Nack Ballard In Response To: 65R-41S-43D-21@-42Z-21P-51P-55P-11, money rollout (pontiac)
Date: Wednesday, 1 February 2012, at 11:20 p.m.
I rolled out the close choices. Your first 3 rolls were big error according to XGR+ so I didnt roll them out.
What are your XGR+ evaluations with the cube turned? Mine show:
Bar/23 6/5(2) .+.034
Bar/24 8/5 ....+.016
Bar/23 8/7 6/5 +.006
Bar/23 6/4 ....+.004
Bar/23 8/6 ....–.011
Bar/24 8/7(3) .–.018Your money rollout (the second one in that post) includes only the fourth, fifth and sixth plays on the above list.
And the results are interesting now so many choices but different results. I think this is bec. of the cube's place?
The cube placement (and perhaps some rollout variance) affects the margins somewhat, but the order of my plays is exactly the same in my cube-centered money rollout and my cube-turned money rollout (see details below).
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 136Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 140
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=---b-BD-CB--bC---bbe--b--A:1:-1:1:11:0:0:3:0:10
1. Rollout1 Bar/23 6/5(2) eq: +0.037
Player:
Opponent:59.14% (G:11.21% B:0.47%)
40.86% (G:11.94% B:0.28%)Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.032...+0.041) - [100.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 52 seconds2. Rollout1 Bar/23 8/7 6/5 eq: +0.021 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:58.64% (G:13.83% B:0.67%)
41.36% (G:14.59% B:0.44%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.016...+0.026) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 59 seconds3. Rollout1 Bar/24 8/5 eq: +0.018 (-0.019)
Player:
Opponent:58.17% (G:11.70% B:0.47%)
41.83% (G:11.58% B:0.29%)Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.014...+0.022) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 25 seconds4. Rollout1 Bar/23 6/4 eq: +0.007 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:58.77% (G:12.73% B:0.62%)
41.23% (G:15.10% B:0.38%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.002...+0.012) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 40 seconds5. Rollout2 Bar/24 8/7(3) eq: -0.016 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:57.02% (G:11.38% B:0.45%)
42.98% (G:11.71% B:0.33%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.026...-0.007) - [0.0%]
Duration: 8 minutes 26 seconds6. Rollout2 Bar/23 8/6 eq: -0.022 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:57.36% (G:11.49% B:0.47%)
42.64% (G:12.57% B:0.31%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.031...-0.013) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 49 seconds1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19656975
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19656975
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01
Nack
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