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6-4 to play

Posted By: pontiac
Date: Monday, 6 February 2012, at 9:50 a.m.

In Response To: 6-4 to play (Casper van der Tak)

here I dont understand the 15-5 play and give hit chance to opp. After reading your nice explanation now it is a bit clear, when cube is on my side, I can take this risk, bec. of the redbl factor next roll.





White is XG Roller+

score: 1
pip: 82
7 point match
pip: 118
score: 0

Blue is pontiac
XGID=--aBBBB-B-A-bB-B--a--bccc-:1:1:1:64:0:1:0:7:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout115/5eq: +0,849
Player:
Opponent:
69,62% (G:12,68% B:0,70%)
30,38% (G:6,29% B:0,07%)
Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,845...+0,853) - [100,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 19 seconds
2.Rollout215/11 10/4eq: +0,833 (-0,016)
Player:
Opponent:
70,03% (G:13,07% B:0,89%)
29,97% (G:6,81% B:0,04%)
Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,830...+0,836) - [0,0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 33 seconds
3.Rollout310/6 8/2* eq: +0,796 (-0,054)
Player:
Opponent:
72,36% (G:18,05% B:0,80%)
27,64% (G:9,86% B:0,05%)
Conf.: ± 0,008 (+0,788...+0,803) - [0,0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 36 seconds
 
1 2393 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23928234
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

2 2392 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23928234
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

3 1052 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23928234
First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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