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Daily Quiz 2/2: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 6 February 2012, at 3:25 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 2/2 (Daily Quiz)

I think my main mistake was forgetting that White doesn't reap the full benefit of her "gammons" after she takes the cube, because after some of Black's misses, she just has to cash.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 29
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBCB----------a--a-CcjA:2:1:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 63.43% (G: 18.62% B: 0.87%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.57% (G: 24.56% B: 0.03%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.218
Redouble:+0.441
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.301 (-0.103)
Redouble/Take:+0.403
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.597)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 27
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 136
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBBCB-----------a--aCcjA:2:1:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 55.22% (G: 16.59% B: 0.93%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.78% (G: 31.10% B: 0.04%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:-0.032
Redouble:-0.052
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.044
Redouble/Take:-0.086 (-0.130)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.956)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 129
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 140
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bBBBBB----a-b----CbbccB--:3:-1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.XG Roller+18/16 18/15eq: -0.499
Player:
Opponent:		 44.47% (G:14.92% B:1.57%)
55.53% (G:29.50% B:2.82%)
2.XG Roller+6/4 6/3eq: -0.530 (-0.031)
Player:
Opponent:		 39.64% (G:12.98% B:0.64%)
60.36% (G:22.65% B:1.22%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 126
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 142
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bBBBBB----a-b----CbbbbbB-:1:1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.XG Roller+6/4 6/3eq: -0.544
Player:
Opponent:		 29.51% (G:9.12% B:0.48%)
70.49% (G:30.02% B:2.57%)
2.XG Roller+5/3 5/2eq: -0.603 (-0.059)
Player:
Opponent:		 27.83% (G:8.00% B:0.37%)
72.17% (G:30.91% B:2.63%)
3.XG Roller+18/16 18/15eq: -0.809 (-0.265)
Player:
Opponent:		 28.22% (G:6.19% B:0.55%)
71.78% (G:45.85% B:7.78%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 173
11 point match
pip: 140
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-aa-aBE-C--AdB-A-c-da---A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 65.76% (G: 30.34% B: 2.60%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.24% (G: 6.88% B: 0.35%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.578
Double:+1.187
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.796 (-0.128)
Double/Take:+0.924
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.076)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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