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Rollout

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 6 February 2012, at 5:35 p.m.

In Response To: 4a-3a cube action? (John O'Hagan)

Easy take at most scores but a big pass at this one. The reasons are 1) The trailer's 2-cube gammon value is close to 1.0 while the leader's are a little less than half. 2) Recube vig is reduced for the leader ATS. 21 numbers hit (6 of which also cover) and frequently lose the market and White still has a lot of work to do on the other 15.

is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 135
13 point match
pip: 125
score: 10

is Player 1
XGID=aa---AF-D---bD---b-ccba---:0:0:-1:00:10:9:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 59.97% (G:27.56% B:0.64%) 60.15% (G:28.12% B:1.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.03% (G:7.00% B:0.41%) 39.85% (G:7.42% B:0.66%)
Cubeless Equities +0.406 +1.396
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.578 (-0.422)±0.013 (+0.565..+0.591)
Double/Take:+1.154 (+0.154)±0.020 (+1.135..+1.174)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 23 minutes 32 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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