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Rollouts of variants

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 8 February 2012, at 11:59 p.m.

In Response To: What's a fish do here? ***ROLLOUT the barrel*** (Daniel Murphy)

White 68 Blue 85 Position ID: 9zYHAECbtwOgAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE	Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.6217 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.1900 +0.1900 3. No double +0.8737 -0.1263 Proper cube action: Redouble, pass Rollout details Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.8058 0.0152 0.0002 - 0.1942 0.0053 0.0000 +0.6217 +0.8737 Standard error 0.0004 0.0002 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0003 0.0000 0.0009 0.0015 Player White owns 4-cube 0.8223 0.0147 0.0002 - 0.1777 0.0051 0.0001 +1.3088 +1.1900 Standard error 0.0007 0.0004 0.0000 - 0.0007 0.0003 0.0000 0.0029 0.0038 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 907964554 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
White 70 Blue 85 Position ID: dzsHAECbtwOgAA Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAE	Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.6214 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.2061 +0.2061 3. No double +0.8753 -0.1247 Proper cube action: Redouble, pass Rollout details Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.8075 0.0130 0.0002 - 0.1925 0.0066 0.0001 +0.6214 +0.8753 Standard error 0.0004 0.0002 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0003 0.0000 0.0009 0.0015 Player White owns 4-cube 0.8259 0.0139 0.0002 - 0.1741 0.0059 0.0001 +1.3201 +1.2061 Standard error 0.0007 0.0004 0.0000 - 0.0007 0.0003 0.0000 0.0030 0.0038 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 907964554 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
gnubg 70 11s 85 Position ID: d9sGAECbtwOgAA Match ID: UQkFAAAAAAAE	Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5899 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.1423 +0.1423 3. No double +0.8653 -0.1347 Proper cube action: Redouble, pass Rollout details Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player 11s owns 2-cube 0.7906 0.0159 0.0003 - 0.2094 0.0075 0.0001 +0.5899 +0.8653 Standard error 0.0005 0.0002 0.0000 - 0.0005 0.0004 0.0000 0.0010 0.0018 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.8116 0.0131 0.0003 - 0.1884 0.0065 0.0001 +1.2600 +1.1423 Standard error 0.0008 0.0005 0.0001 - 0.0008 0.0003 0.0000 0.0034 0.0045 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 907964554 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
gnubg 52 11s 85 Position ID: 3/cAAECbtwOgAA Match ID: UQkFAAAAAAAE	Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5641 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, pass +1.0000 2. Double, take +1.0731 +0.0731 3. No double +0.8637 -0.1363 Proper cube action: Redouble, pass Rollout details Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player 11s owns 2-cube 0.7755 0.0160 0.0001 - 0.2245 0.0029 0.0000 +0.5641 +0.8637 Standard error 0.0004 0.0002 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0005 0.0000 0.0008 0.0023 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.7951 0.0201 0.0003 - 0.2049 0.0100 0.0000 +1.2013 +1.0731 Standard error 0.0006 0.0004 0.0001 - 0.0006 0.0004 0.0000 0.0027 0.0048 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 907964554 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
gnubg 64 11s 81 Position ID: 724GAEB7tgOgAA Match ID: UQkFAAAAAAAE	Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.5248 Cubeful equities: 1. Double, take +0.9102 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.0898 3. No double +0.8323 -0.0780 Proper cube action: Redouble, take Rollout details Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player 11s owns 2-cube 0.7605 0.0101 0.0000 - 0.2395 0.0065 0.0000 +0.5248 +0.8323 Standard error 0.0004 0.0002 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0003 0.0000 0.0008 0.0012 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.7634 0.0096 0.0001 - 0.2366 0.0058 0.0000 +1.0612 +0.9102 Standard error 0.0007 0.0003 0.0001 - 0.0007 0.0003 0.0000 0.0028 0.0040 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 907964554 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
gnubg 57 11s 81 Position ID: 770BAEB7tgOgAA Match ID: UQkFAAAAAAAE	Alert: wrong double ( -0.0399)! [doubtful] Cube decision Rollout cubeless equity +0.4655 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.8018 2. Double, pass +1.0000 +0.1982 3. Double, take +0.7619 -0.0399 Proper cube action: No redouble, take (16.7%) Rollout details Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player 11s owns 2-cube 0.7308 0.0080 0.0000 - 0.2692 0.0041 0.0000 +0.4655 +0.8018 Standard error 0.0005 0.0001 0.0000 - 0.0005 0.0003 0.0000 0.0011 0.0022 Player gnubg owns 4-cube 0.7332 0.0086 0.0001 - 0.2668 0.0040 0.0000 +0.9420 +0.7619 Standard error 0.0007 0.0002 0.0001 - 0.0007 0.0003 0.0000 0.0027 0.0037 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 907964554 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• What's a fish do here?
  Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 5 February 2012, at 11:26 p.m.
  • What's a fish do here?
    Stick -- Sunday, 5 February 2012, at 11:42 p.m.
    • What's a fish do here?
      Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 6 February 2012, at 12:12 a.m.
  • What's a fish do here?
    Sebastiaan Kuijs -- Monday, 6 February 2012, at 1:35 a.m.
  • What's a fish do here?
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 6 February 2012, at 5:55 a.m.
  • What's a fish do here?
    higonefive -- Monday, 6 February 2012, at 8:41 a.m.
  • What's a fish do here?
    neilkaz -- Monday, 6 February 2012, at 4:39 p.m.
  • What's a fish do here? ***ROLLOUT the barrel***
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 6 February 2012, at 7:17 p.m.
    • Rollouts of variants
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 8 February 2012, at 11:59 p.m.
  • What's a fish do here?
    ah_clem -- Monday, 6 February 2012, at 9:21 p.m.