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OLM We 02/08/12

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 9 February 2012, at 4:14 a.m.

In Response To: OLM We 02/08/12 (Jason Lee)

I don’t know how the score affects this, but it is way too good for money. A likely scenaro has White crashing, and Black winning 15% gammons against an ace point game. After he crashes, White’s winning chances fall to around 5%. When Blue can hit on the next roll, his gammon win rate goes up even higher.

My vote: No double

[Thanks to Phil Simborg. His USBGF video lesson from a few months back is the source of my stats.]

Mike

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