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Daily Quiz 2/7

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 11 February 2012, at 12:25 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 2/7 (Daily Quiz)

1. This looks like a pretty standard D/T position. Maybe the score makes a difference but I'd be surprised.

2. The race is close enough that I'd run here. White has only three spares to attack with and a weaker board than we have. If we hit back or roll another 6x to escape, I think we're in decent shape, whereas continuing to hold while waiting for a shot doesn't seem so promising since White's position is quite flexible.

3. I haven't memorized what the equity at 1a8a Crawford is; let's say it's 93%. Then I think White's raw takepoint is elevated; maybe about 29%. White has almost no recube vig. Blue will be off in 4 rolls with a little luck but will often miss twice. Doublets other than 66 and 55 don't necessarily save Blue a roll. I think this is close to a five-roll position for Blue. White's position seems to be slightly worse than a five-roll position. So I suspect this is NRD/T for money, but if I did the takepoint calculation correctly, White's take is more in question than Blue's redouble. I'm guessing RD/P but am less sure about the pass.

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