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Analysis by Design

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Saturday, 11 February 2012, at 10:45 a.m.

In Response To: What kind of game is this? A mutual holding game? (Daniel Murphy)

Constructively, your analysis reads like a shopping list. You've itemised IYO the key elements and the "emotional spike" in the evaluative process is: "...and rates to get worse while White rates to marginally inprove". Everyone on the planet (including the very best players in the world) is susceptible to emotion in the decision-making process. The main difference between players is that some have a larger repertoire of coping strategies than others, C'est le vie.

Here's a breakdown of your analysis:

Pro's & Con's

Pro - Blue leads in the race

Pro - blue has the barpt

Pro - White has 2 empty points

Con - has fewer spares

Pro, Con? - has the worse anchor

Pro, Con? - may leave 2 blots

Pro, Con? - ***rates to get worse while white marginally better***

Fron the text, your own breahdown reads 4:3 in fav of 17/10

As a crude measure for estimating the differential I'll give a 1 for each Pro and 1 for each Con and .5 for each Pro/Con.

Firstly, your breakdown: 4:3 would indicate a 0.01 diff (moved the dec) between the 2 plays.

My interpretation reads 4.5:2.5; a 0.02 diff in fav of 8/6 8/3.

In reality, combining both yield a diff of 0.03. Curious as to what the ROLLOUT will show!

NB. feel free to rip into me anytime, lol. I love it!!!

NBM

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