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63S-32-g, update on T4 status (good news)

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 12 February 2012, at 1:25 a.m.

In Response To: 63S-32-g, update on T4 status (David Rockwell)

This 4-ply gammon go rollout was started by David and finished by Ken. This result having been favorably turned around, $ wins the rollout with 99.6% confidence:

    g[$ S1 W2 %5 H5 Z11] "^116*108 20

Below are rollout details.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 158
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 167
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EaC---dE-a-c-e----B-:0:0:1:32:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/10 6/4eq: +0.113
Player:
Opponent:
43.90% (G:11.76% B:0.94%)
56.10% (G:20.46% B:3.82%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.112...+0.114) - [99.6%]
Duration: 9 days 10 hours 13 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 13/11eq: +0.112 (-0.001)
Player:
Opponent:
44.12% (G:11.47% B:0.88%)
55.88% (G:20.03% B:2.79%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.111...+0.112) - [0.3%]
Duration: 9 days 09 hours 55 minutes
3.Rollout224/21 6/4eq: +0.111 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:
44.20% (G:11.37% B:0.99%)
55.80% (G:20.85% B:3.04%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.111...+0.112) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 days 10 hours 03 minutes
4.Rollout313/11 8/5eq: +0.108 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
43.47% (G:11.94% B:0.88%)
56.53% (G:20.25% B:3.74%)
Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.107...+0.110) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 days 16 hours 26 minutes
5.Rollout36/1* eq: +0.108 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:
43.37% (G:12.01% B:0.80%)
56.63% (G:19.23% B:3.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.106...+0.109) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 days 00 hour 51 minutes
6.Rollout324/22 13/10eq: +0.102 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
43.62% (G:11.50% B:0.82%)
56.38% (G:20.08% B:2.65%)
Conf.: ± 0.001 (+0.101...+0.104) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 days 19 hours 47 minutes
1 116640 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54874708
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

2 108944 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54874708
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

3 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 54874708
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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