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Daily Quiz 2/16: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 12:41 a.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 2/16 (Daily Quiz)

Good DQR candidate I think. Stick will enjoy ranting about the race.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 92 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 130 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-A--bCCBB-B--------aebcBb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	61.94% (G: 13.37% B: 0.48%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	38.06% (G: 9.21% B: 0.21%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.239
Double:	+0.559
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.451
Double/Take:	+0.325 (-0.126)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.549)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Variant:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 92 Money session Jacoby Beaver pip: 136 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----bCCCB-B--------aebcBb-:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances:	66.46% (G: 14.23% B: 0.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	33.54% (G: 7.72% B: 0.16%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.329
Double:	+0.783
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.627
Double/Take:	+0.577 (-0.051)
Double/Drop:	+1.000 (+0.373)
Best Cube action: No Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

---

		White is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 88 7 point match pip: 115 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DCC--------a-b--bCcbBabb-:1:1:1:21:0:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 21

1.	XG Roller+	3/1 2/1	eq: -0.931
	Player: Opponent: 10.62% (G:0.30% B:0.00%) 89.38% (G:17.82% B:0.22%)
2.	XG Roller+	18/15	eq: -1.047 (-0.115)
	Player: Opponent: 10.28% (G:0.67% B:0.01%) 89.72% (G:28.01% B:0.43%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

---

Full rollout:

		White is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 29 7 point match pip: 59 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DCCBAA-------------bAcdb-:1:1:1:51:0:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	6/1 5/4	eq: -0.978
	Player: Opponent: 1.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 98.28% (G:1.67% B:0.02%) Conf: ± 0.001 (-0.979...-0.977) Duration: 16.0 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/1 3/2	eq: -0.982 (-0.004)
	Player: Opponent: 1.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 98.55% (G:1.51% B:0.02%) Conf: ± 0.001 (-0.983...-0.981) Duration: 18.0 seconds
3.	Rollout1	6/1 2/1	eq: -0.982 (-0.004)
	Player: Opponent: 1.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 98.57% (G:1.50% B:0.02%) Conf: ± 0.001 (-0.983...-0.981) Duration: 20.0 seconds
4.	Rollout1	21/15	eq: -0.997 (-0.020)
	Player: Opponent: 0.14% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 99.86% (G:0.02% B:0.00%) Conf: ± 0.000 (-0.997...-0.997) Duration: 1 minute 27 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Messages In This Thread

• Daily Quiz 2/16
  Daily Quiz -- Thursday, 16 February 2012, at 6:28 a.m.
  • Daily Quiz 2/16
    Turz -- Thursday, 16 February 2012, at 12:49 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 2/16
    kruidenbuiltje -- Thursday, 16 February 2012, at 2:08 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 2/16
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 18 February 2012, at 5:04 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 2/16
    RobertFontaine -- Saturday, 18 February 2012, at 10:17 p.m.
  • Daily Quiz 2/16: XGR+ evals
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 12:41 a.m.