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bear off against 5 acepoint checkers

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 5:03 p.m.

In Response To: bear off against 5 acepoint checkers (Casper van der Tak)

Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off
Result Freq. *ME =MWC
Win 1 point 0.1325*0.4876=6.4617%(+0.6584)
Win 2 points0.6185*0.5000 =30.9250%(-2.4250)
Win 3 points0.0880*1.0000 =8.8000%(+2.1700)
Win (any) 0.8390 46.1867%
Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off
Result Freq. *ME =MWC
Win 1 point 0.1190*0.4876=5.8033%(-0.6584)
Win 2 points0.6671*0.5000 =33.3500%(+2.4250)
Win 3 points0.0663*1.0000 =6.6300%(-2.1700)
Win (any) 0.8524 45.7833%

Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off
Result Freq.ME
Win 1 or 2 points75.10%(-3.51%) 37.3867%(-1.766%)
Win 3 points 8.80%(+2.17%)8.8000%(+2.170%)
Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off
Result Freq. ME
Win 1 or 2 points78.61% (+3.51%)39.1533% (+1.766%)
Win 3 points 6.63% (-2.17%) 6.6300% (-2.170%)

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