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BGonline.org Forums
bear off against 5 acepoint checkers
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: bear off against 5 acepoint checkers (Casper van der Tak)
Date: Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 5:03 p.m.
Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off Result Freq. * ME = MWC Win 1 point 0.1325 * 0.4876 = 6.4617% (+0.6584) Win 2 points 0.6185 * 0.5000 = 30.9250% (-2.4250) Win 3 points 0.0880 * 1.0000 = 8.8000% (+2.1700) Win (any) 0.8390 46.1867% Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off Result Freq. * ME = MWC Win 1 point 0.1190 * 0.4876 = 5.8033% (-0.6584) Win 2 points 0.6671 * 0.5000 = 33.3500% (+2.4250) Win 3 points 0.0663 * 1.0000 = 6.6300% (-2.1700) Win (any) 0.8524 45.7833%
Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off Result Freq. ME Win 1 or 2 points 75.10% (-3.51%) 37.3867% (-1.766%) Win 3 points 8.80% (+2.17%) 8.8000% (+2.170%) Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off Result Freq. ME Win 1 or 2 points 78.61% (+3.51%) 39.1533% (+1.766%) Win 3 points 6.63% (-2.17%) 6.6300% (-2.170%)
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