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bear off against 5 acepoint checkers

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 6:14 p.m.

In Response To: bear off against 5 acepoint checkers (Petter Bengtsson)

Original Position Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off Result Freq. * ME = MWC Win 1 point 0.1325 * 0.4876 = 6.4617% (+0.6584) Win 2 points 0.6185 * 0.5000 = 30.9250% (-2.4250) Win 3 points 0.0880 * 1.0000 = 8.8000% (+2.1700) Win (any) 0.8390 46.1867% Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off Result Freq. * ME = MWC Win 1 point 0.1190 * 0.4876 = 5.8033% (-0.6584) Win 2 points 0.6671 * 0.5000 = 33.3500% (+2.4250) Win 3 points 0.0663 * 1.0000 = 6.6300% (-2.1700) Win (any) 0.8524 45.7833% Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off Result Freq. ME Win 1 or 2 points 75.10% (-3.51%) 37.3867% (-1.766%) Win 3 points 8.80% (+2.17%) 8.8000% (+2.170%) Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off Result Freq. ME Win 1 or 2 points 78.61% (+3.51%) 39.1533% (+1.766%) Win 3 points 6.63% (-2.17%) 6.6300% (-2.170%)

Petter's variant Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off Result Freq. * ME = MWC Win 1 point 0.1282 * 0.4876 = 6.2510% (+0.5851) Win 2 points 0.5617 * 0.5000 = 28.0850% (-2.6750) Win 3 points 0.0849 * 1.0000 = 8.4900% (+1.6100) Win (any) 0.7748 42.8260% Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off Result Freq. * ME = MWC Win 1 point 0.1162 * 0.4876 = 5.6659% (-0.5851) Win 2 points 0.6152 * 0.5000 = 30.7600% (+2.6750) Win 3 points 0.0688 * 1.0000 = 6.8800% (-1.6100) Win (any) 0.8002 43.3059% Match Winning Chance after 5/off 4/off Result Freq. ME Win 1 or 2 points 68.99% (-4.15%) 34.3360% (-2.0899%) Win 3 points 8.49% (+1.61%) 8.4900% (+1.6100%) Match Winning Chance after 6/2 5/off Result Freq. ME Win 1 or 2 points 73.14% (+4.15%) 36.4259% (+2.0899%) Win 3 points 6.88% (-1.61%) 6.8800% (-1.6100%)

Messages In This Thread

• bear off against 5 acepoint checkers
  muf211 -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 2:39 p.m.
  • bear off against 5 acepoint checkers
    Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 3:23 p.m.
    • bear off against 5 acepoint checkers
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 5:03 p.m.
  • bear off against 5 acepoint checkers
    Petter Bengtsson -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 5:13 p.m.
    • bear off against 5 acepoint checkers
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 6:14 p.m.
    • bear off against 5 acepoint checkers
      muf211 -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 9:02 p.m.
  • Money Rollout
    Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 19 February 2012, at 11:22 p.m.