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Tough cube in Pittsburgh chouette

Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov
Date: Monday, 20 February 2012, at 5:04 a.m.

In Response To: Tough cube in Pittsburgh chouette (Dmitriy Obukhov)

At this point all four crew members had 4 cubes on their side. Only one player redoubled. Next roll was 66,..ouch. Box lost a backgammon for 60 points.





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 169
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 27
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=--AB-BBa---AB----A---BAAi-:3:-1:-1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 55.38% (G:38.77% B:2.66%) 55.07% (G:38.70% B:2.66%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 44.62% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 44.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.522 +1.030
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.589±0.005 (+0.584..+0.594)
Redouble/Take:+0.579 (-0.010)±0.009 (+0.570..+0.588)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.411)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 2.2%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply
Double Decision confidence:96.6%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 hours 58 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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