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Daily Quiz 2/119 - Matches from PGH

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Tuesday, 21 February 2012, at 5:19 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 2/119 - Matches from PGH (Daily Quiz)

#3 - It is very questionable whether or not Ray would have a take after a closeout. If his two or three points held a blot rather than a point, I believe he would have a drop. The placement of Stick's spares will also be relevant. And, taking would rely upon the questionable proposition that Ray would know when to return the cube to 4 at this score. Considering everything, it should be close to a take.

In the current position, Ray could escape before a closeout. Or Stick could retrieve another checker. These scenarios will at least partially offset. The kicker is that Ray can win a gammon and Stick can not. Even with the cube turned, the gammon value is still somewhere between .25 and .50 - gammons are worth something. I think Ray has enough to take.

Stick's equity isn't going to change much move to move. So, I will guess that this is no double by a small amount. Ray will still have a take or a narrow drop after Stick completes the prime. I would double immediately after making a 6 prime or if Ray exposes another checker in his home board without being at the edge of the prime.

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