| |
BGonline.org Forums
4a4a. Re-cuberino ?
Posted By: ah_clem In Response To: 4a4a. Re-cuberino ? (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Tuesday, 21 February 2012, at 10:20 p.m.
If blue rolls a 5 he's pretty much gin (66 responses excepted). So I see a fair amount of market losers.
If Blue shakes 6, he's in pretty good shape as long as White doesn't roll a six. Everything else plays pretty well except 33 and 11, as long as White doesn't roll a six. The cube will be dead if he turns it, so no cube vig.
Looks like a double to me.
Can White take? If blue misses (25/36) and white rolls a six (11/36) white seems to have the upper hand. But that's only about 21% to get to "ahead but not gin". I'm not seeing it. I calculate the takepoint as 33%, and I'm not seeing that.
Too good? Maybe. But Blue stil has work to do and lots of sequences lead to positions where the cash has evaporated. I'd cash now, and be happy to play it for the match.
RD/P.
| |
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.