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Rollout: Make the five point, stupid

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 22 February 2012, at 3:06 p.m.

In Response To: Make the five point, stupid (Timothy Chow)

I still don't understand this play, even after reading the comments. I guess I'll have to do some more analysis.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 163
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 140
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B--b-CCCAa-d----c-e--C---:0:0:1:11:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.Rollout122/20(2)eq: +0.073
Player:
Opponent:
50.95% (G:14.12% B:0.40%)
49.05% (G:8.15% B:0.34%)
Conf: ± 0.015 (+0.058...+0.088)
Duration: 5 hours 08 minutes
2.Rollout122/21(3) 9/8eq: +0.021 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
50.11% (G:12.91% B:0.33%)
49.89% (G:9.04% B:0.39%)
Conf: ± 0.013 (+0.008...+0.034)
Duration: 4 hours 28 minutes
3.Rollout122/21(2) 9/7eq: +0.013 (-0.061)
Player:
Opponent:
49.84% (G:13.94% B:0.36%)
50.16% (G:9.55% B:0.44%)
Conf: ± 0.016 (-0.003...+0.029)
Duration: 4 hours 40 minutes
4.Rollout122/21 7/5 6/5eq: +0.009 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:
49.07% (G:15.45% B:0.48%)
50.93% (G:10.13% B:0.47%)
Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.005...+0.023)
Duration: 4 hours 17 minutes
5.Rollout222/21(2) 9/8 7/6eq: -0.012 (-0.085)
Player:
Opponent:
49.59% (G:13.55% B:0.33%)
50.41% (G:9.83% B:0.42%)
Conf: ± 0.023 (-0.035...+0.011)
Duration: 1 hour 39 minutes
6.Rollout29/8 7/5 6/5eq: -0.016 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:
49.02% (G:13.89% B:0.31%)
50.98% (G:10.21% B:0.43%)
Conf: ± 0.020 (-0.036...+0.004)
Duration: 1 hour 43 minutes
1 2432 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

2 1084 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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